Ford (F) sets up for big base breakout

5/22/2026 - Ford Motor Co. (F), a motor vehicles stock, has the potential for an upside breakout from a big base dating back to mid 2022. A decisive rally above 14.84-15.42 (pattern neckline and 38.2% retracement of the early 2022 into early 2025 decline) would confirm this pattern, signaling initial potential to 17.15-17.46 (50% retracement and 100% extension of the April 2025 to February 2026 advance projected from the late March low) and then toward 19.21-20.00 (61.8% retracement and big base pattern count) on a longer-term basis. If needed, the 161.8% extension at 21.39 provides another upside target.

Until that breakout occurs, F must stay above or defend chart support and its 13-, 26-, 40-, 200-week moving averages (WMAs) from 13.05 down to 12.05.

F is building a potential mid-2024 into mid-2026 bottom relative to the S&P 500.

A breakout for the volume advance decline (VAD) provides a potential bullish leading indicator for an upside breakout from F’s basing pattern. Holding the rising 26- and 40-WMAs on VAD would keep the immediate pattern bullish.

Chart 1: Ford Motor Co. (F) (top), relative to the S&P 500 (center), and volume advance decline (bottom): Weekly chart

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