top of page
All Posts


Big base breakout potential for NVGS
We received a question on Navigator Holdings Ltd (NVGS). The stock looks bullish and is on the verge of breaking out from a massive 10-year basing pattern. Navigator Holdings (NVGS) continues to trend higher after its 2020 low and is now pressing against the upper boundary of a massive 10-year basing pattern. The stock recently broke out from a bullish mid-2024 to late-2025 consolidation, increasing the potential for a decisive breakout above 17.67–18.18, which would complet
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 17, 2025


XLK: Risk from a daily bearish thrusting line
Technology (XLK) recovered from Friday's (11/14) big opening gap lower, which tested the prior Friday's hammer low at 281.59 as support. However, similar to the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 (see prior post), XLK formed a two-day bearish candlestick pattern called a bearish thrusting line that could provide an overhang for the sector entering this week. A thrusting line is a bearish continuation candlestick pattern occurs when a sharp rally follows an opening downside gap and leads
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 17, 2025


Risky daily candles on SPX and NDX
Friday's gap lower and ensuing recovery seemed bullish on the surface but create two-day bearish continuation candle patterns on the S&P 500 (SPX) and NASDAQ 100 (NDX) that could provide an overhang for the U.S. equity market entering the week. The S&P 500 (SPX) held above the prior Friday's (11/7) hammer low at 6631 on last Friday's (11/14) intra-day gap lower and decline to 6646. The ensuing rally created a solid white candle on Friday, but one that could not overcome the b
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 17, 2025


Big base breakout for Belgium (EWK)
"The bigger the base, the higher in space." The iShares MSCI Belgium Index Fund ETF (EWK) has completed a bullish breakout and successful retest from an early-2018 to late-2025 big base. Continuing to hold the 23.23–23.00 breakout zone would keep the pattern bullish with upside potential beyond the 2007 peak at 28.64 toward the big base pattern counts at 32.00 and 34.00. Rising 13-, 26-, and 40-week moving averages at 23.40, 22.78, and 21.83 reinforce the breakout and the pre
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 14, 2025


A potential bullish consolidation for GLTR
Question: GLTR - possible cup and handle or risk of double top - thank you. The Aberdeen Standard Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF (GLTR) has rising 13-, 26-, and 40-day moving averages (DMA)s from 176.25 down to 172.52 and is trading within a potential bullish consolidation until proven otherwise. This pattern may require additional time to fully form, but if Wednesday’s high at 183.45 serves as the breakout point, a decisive move above that level would open the do
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 14, 2025


Technology (XLK) defends support so far
Technology gapped lower on today's open, with XLK retesting last Friday's hammer at 281.60 on today's undercut down to 280.29. While it is encouraging to see an intra-day bounce to fill the opening downside gap, it would take a move above the rising 50-day and 40-day moving averages near 285.17 and 288.60, respectively, to reinforce a bullish trend. Chart 1: SPDR Technology Select Sector Fund ETF (XLK): Daily candlestick chart The important weekly chart support zone holds so
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 14, 2025


Silver futures hit tactical upside targets
We flagged a potential tactical breakout for silver futures in our Monday, November 10 blog. Silver quickly confirmed this view by breaking out of its tactical triangle on a move above 49.00–49.23 after defending its rising 40-day moving average as support on a bullish engulfing pattern and bullish hammer (October 29 Straight from the Chart ). On Wednesday and Thursday, silver futures tested key breakout objectives at 52.40 (pattern count) and 53.77 (October high) before form
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 14, 2025


Small caps pressure big support
All eyes are on key support for the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) at 237.55-236.27, which is getting pounded on by the bears heading into the last hour of today's trading. The two weekly bearish engulfing patterns from October continue to weigh on small caps, keeping pressure on the recent uptrend. If this key support for IWM breaks, the risk increases for a deeper pullback to 222, which aligns with the 38.2% retracement of the April-October rally at 221.81. We view 237.55-2
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 13, 2025


Price Gaps
In this installment of Tech Speak 101 , Steve explores Price Gaps — a key concept in Technical Analysis that reveals sudden shifts in market sentiment. He breaks down: What a price gap is and how it forms The difference kinds of gaps How provide gaps “air pockets” of support or resistance Real-world examples of gaps in action 📘 Want to dive deeper? Download Steve’s Price Gaps Reference Guide for a quick overview and key insights you can apply to your charts.
jennifer suttmeier
Nov 13, 2025


Rotation, rotation, rotation
As highlighted in our November 10th The Sector Edge , the U.S. equity market is rotating away from Growth into other pockets of the market. Healthcare, Energy, and Financials leadership over the last month and last week S&P 500 GICs level 1 sector ETFs that are showing leadership over the last month are Healthcare (XLV), Energy (XLE), and Financials (XLF) . This means that the Growth sector ETFs - Technology (XLK), Communication Services (XLC), and Discretionary (XLY) - have
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 13, 2025


Net new 52-week highs firm up on S&P 500
One of our favorite breadth indicators — net new 52-week highs — has firmed up on the S&P 500 (SPX), and that’s a healthy sign for the market. The next hurdle is to see this indicator push above the September and July peaks in the 41–48 range. That would confirm that the rally from the April low still has legs. For perspective, net new highs were much stronger in 2024, when they climbed above 100 net new highs — a level that marked broad and powerful participation in the mar
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 13, 2025


Bank of America (BAC)
We have a few subscribers looking for an update on BAC. BAC: A breakout from a big cup and handle base points to 62 and 70 We highlighted Bank of America (BAC) as bullish in our Jul 31 The Stock Pulse report. Continuing to hold the 50-48 area would keep the breakout from a late 2021 into mid 2025 big base cup and handle formation intact for further upside beyond the late 2006 and late 2007 peaks from 52.94 to 55.08 toward the cup and handle pattern counts at 62 and 70. Risin
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 12, 2025


4D Molecular Therapeutics (FDMT)
We received a question on the chart for 4D Molecular Therapeutics (FDMT), a small cap biotech name. FDMT: Holds support (10.03-9.63) and reasserts uptrend for the 12- and 15-handles A breakout above 7.59 confirmed a December 2024-September 2025 bottoming pattern for FDMT that favors upside to 12.43-12.85 (38.2% of the July 2024-April 2025 decline). FDMT approached this upside target in late October prior to a pullback into early November. This pullback defended key chart supp
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 12, 2025


Archer Daniels Midland (ADM)
A developing head and shoulder bottom for ADM ADM is building a potential early 2024 into late 2025 (maybe early 2026) head and shoulders (H&S) bottom. Holding the rising 26- and 40-week moving averages (WMAs) from 57.26 to 53.81 could carve out the right shoulder, but even if ADM declined into the zone of the left shoulder lows a 52.28-50.72, the stock would still be within this potentially bullish pattern. If the right shoulder successfully forms, we will look for a breakou
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 12, 2025


Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI)
DJI: Bullish patterns continue to support upside to 49,000 and 53,000 Upside breakouts from a March-June head and shoulders (H&S) bottom and a bigger November 2024-August 2025 bullish consolidation remain intact on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) and project upside to 49,000 (H&S target) and 53,000-53,400 (100% extension and bullish consolidation target). Rising 13-, 26-, and 40-day moving averages from 47,392 to 46,685 reinforce this bullish trend, and Friday's low at
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 12, 2025


CommScope (COMM) update
We received a question on CommScope (COMM), which we flagged as bullish in our July 31 The Stock Pulse report. CommScope (COMM): Bullish above 16.06-14.69 with potential to 21.68-22.18 COMM maintains a constructive technical setup after completing a mid-2023 to mid-2025 bottoming pattern in late June. The stock gapped higher in early August, reaching upside objectives from 11.30 to 13.40 before breaking above the late 2022 highs at 12.88–13.73. COMM has continued to rally, c
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 11, 2025


iShares Latin America 40 ETF (ILF)
We received a question the iShares Latin America 40 ETF (ILF). iShares Latin America 40 ETF (ILF): Breaks out from a double bottom ILF is confirming a bullish breakout from a mid-2022 to late-2025 double bottom pattern. Sustaining strength above the breakout zone at 29.84–29.00 would keep the formation intact and support further upside toward the 37.00–38.75 area. A secondary head-and-shoulders bottom that developed from mid-2024 to mid-2025 reinforces this bullish setup and
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 11, 2025


Alibaba (BABA) still in a correction
We last highlighted Alibaba (BABA) in this blog on October 22, and the stock remains within a corrective phase. This post updates our view and flags the risk of a 1-month bearish head and shoulders pattern. Alibaba (BABA): Watch key supports for post-breakout corrective phase The early September breakouts above 134 and 145 completed a late 2021-late 2025 big base for BABA. This breakout established upside potential toward the 50% and 61.8% retracements of the late 2020–late 2
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 11, 2025


S&P 500 Equal Weight (RSP)
S&P 500 Equal Weight (RSP) rebounds after holding key support at 185 The S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) defended major tactical support at the October 10 low near 185, forming a bullish engulfing pattern on November 6–7. Today’s upside follow-through confirms that signal, suggesting a successful test of support. The next hurdle is reclaiming the declining 13-, 26-, and 40-day moving averages, which cluster between 188.59 and 188.88, followed by filling the October 29 downside
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 10, 2025


Ambarella (AMBA): Big base breakout watch
Ambarella (AMBA): A breakout above 89-93.44 would confirm a 2022-2025 big base Ambarella (AMBA) is positioned to complete a major base that has been developing since mid-2022. A decisive breakout above 89.00–93.44 would confirm the base and signal upside potential beyond the early 2023 high at 99.86 toward 110.95 (38.2% retracement of the late 2021–early 2025 decline), 133.22 (50% retracement), and 147 (pattern target). Holding above support at 83–81, defined by the rising 13
Stephen Suttmeier
Nov 10, 2025
bottom of page
